Falcons vs Saints NFL Player Props and DFS Picks

Our Falcons vs Saints NFL player props and DFS picks target the best anytime touchdown scorer plays for this Week 4 matchup between the (1-2) Atlanta Falcons and the (1-2) New Orleans Saints, kicking off Monday, October 5th at 8:15 PM ET.

For our full spread, moneyline, and total breakdown of this game, check out our Falcons vs Saints NFL Picks and Predictions article. You can also see our full Week 4 NFL Schedule for odds and predictions on every game this week.

Below, we're using data from HOF's sports betting research app — including matchup grades and touchdown projections — to make our top anytime touchdown scorer prop picks and DFS plays for this game. We aren't listing specific prop odds here since sportsbook lines for individual player props vary by book, but these are the two players we'd target to find the end zone.

Player Prop Pick #1: N. Fant to Score a Touchdown (NO)

Noah Fant carries a C matchup grade against Atlanta's defense, with HOF projecting a strong 1.5 touchdowns on 33 total yards — the highest touchdown projection of any player in this game. With Tyler Shough grading out as one of the week's best quarterback matchups, Fant is our top pick to find the end zone.

Player Prop Pick #2: B. Robinson to Score a Touchdown (ATL)

Bijan Robinson carries an A- matchup grade against New Orleans's defense, with HOF projecting a full touchdown on a game-high 155.7 total yards. As Atlanta's clear workhorse and one of the most heavily-used backs in the league, Robinson gives the Falcons a reliable scoring threat to close out Week 4.

How We Pick Our Falcons vs Saints NFL Player Props and DFS Picks

Our Falcons vs Saints NFL player props and DFS picks are built the same way every week: directly from HOF's sports betting research app, not guesswork. We start with HOF's touchdown projections for every skill player involved in the game, then check each player's matchup grade for that game — since a favorable matchup is one of the clearest signals of scoring opportunity.

From there we weigh HOF's projection against the matchup grade for each candidate, which tells us whether the matchup itself favors more or fewer scoring chances. We deliberately don't quote a specific touchdown-scorer prop price here, since sportsbook odds on individual player props vary from book to book and change throughout the week, but the two players we highlight are the ones the data points to as the best bets to find the end zone. We update these picks as HOF's projections and matchup grades change closer to kickoff.

Touchdown scorer props tend to carry more variance than spread or moneyline bets, since a single game script can shut out a projected scorer entirely — which is why we weigh matchup grade alongside the raw projection rather than leaning on touchdown projections alone. A player can hold a strong role and still see the game flow away from him if the score gets out of hand.

For DFS purposes, a strong matchup grade combined with a real projected role tends to correlate with a solid roster floor, since well-matched, featured players are more likely to see the volume needed to pay off even on weeks when they don't find the end zone. That same discipline is why our touchdown scorer picks can differ meaningfully from the public consensus name at a position — we're following the matchup grade and the projection, not name recognition or last week's box score.