Vikings vs Buccaneers NFL Player Props and DFS Picks

Our Vikings vs Buccaneers NFL player props and DFS picks target the best anytime touchdown scorer plays for this Week 3 matchup, using HOF's usage share, matchup grade, and touchdown projection data.

The Minnesota Vikings (2-0) hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2) on Sunday, September 27th at 4:05 PM ET. For our full breakdown of the odds, matchup, and against-the-spread pick for this game, check out our Vikings vs Buccaneers NFL Picks and Predictions article. You can also see our full Week 3 NFL Schedule for odds and predictions on every game this week.

Below, we're using data from HOF's sports betting research app — including usage share, matchup grades, and touchdown projections — to make our top anytime touchdown scorer prop picks and DFS plays for this game. We aren't listing specific prop odds here since sportsbook lines for individual player props vary by book, but these are the two players we'd target to find the end zone.

Player Prop Pick #1: Kenny Gainwell to Score a Touchdown (TB)

Kenny Gainwell leads all Buccaneers backs with a 0.5 projected rushing touchdown mark this week, the highest touchdown projection of any Tampa Bay skill player in HOF's data, ahead of Bucky Irving (0.4) and Emeka Egbuka (0.1). With Minnesota's defense allowing the Buccaneers offense to grade out favorably in this matchup, Gainwell is our top touchdown scorer pick from this side.

Player Prop Pick #2: Aaron Jones to Score a Touchdown (MIN)

On the Vikings side, Aaron Jones Sr. carries a 0.3 projected rushing touchdown mark, the highest among healthy Minnesota backs. Fellow Vikings back J. Mason also projects for 0.3, but he's currently sidelined (Out, surgery), which makes Jones the clear lead-back touchdown play for Minnesota this week.

How We Pick Our Vikings vs Buccaneers NFL Player Props and DFS Picks

Our Vikings vs Buccaneers NFL player props and DFS picks are built the same way every week: directly from HOF's sports betting research app, not guesswork. We start with HOF's touchdown projections for every skill player involved in the game, then check each player's usage share — their share of their team's carries, targets, or red zone touches — since usage is one of the clearest signals of touchdown opportunity. From there we layer in HOF's matchup grade for that player's unit against the opposing defense, which tells us whether the matchup itself favors more or fewer scoring chances. We deliberately don't quote a specific touchdown-scorer prop price here, since sportsbook odds on individual player props vary from book to book and change throughout the week, but the two players we highlight are the ones the data points to as the best bets to find the end zone. We update these picks as HOF's projections, usage shares, and matchup grades change closer to kickoff.

Touchdown scorer props tend to carry more variance than spread or moneyline bets, since a single game script can shut out a projected scorer entirely — which is why we weigh usage share and matchup grade together rather than leaning on touchdown projections alone. A player can hold a strong red zone role and still see the game flow away from him if the score gets out of hand. For DFS purposes, that same combination of usage share and matchup grade tends to correlate with a solid roster floor, since high-usage players in favorable matchups are more likely to see the volume needed to pay off even on weeks when they don't find the end zone.