Patriots vs Seahawks NFL Player Props and DFS Picks
Our Patriots vs Seahawks player props roundup breaks down the best individual bets and DFS plays for this Week 1 matchup, built around usage rates and matchup grades for both rosters. For the full betting picture, see our companion Patriots vs Seahawks predictions and picks.
Patriots vs Seahawks Player Props Overview
Seattle is without starting running back Zach Charbonnet, who is out following surgery, which pushes more of the offense through Sam Darnold's arm and gives Jaxon Smith-Njigba a season-opening workload. On the other side, New England is banged up on defense, with Harold Landry III out and Christian Gonzalez questionable, which could open things up for Seattle's pass catchers. New England's own passing game looks more evenly distributed, with Rhamondre Stevenson standing out as the workhorse in both the run and pass game.
Top Patriots vs Seahawks Player Props to Target
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Seahawks): Smith-Njigba profiles as the clear WR1 in this game plan, projected for a 34.9 percent target share and 84.9 total yards, and he grades out as an F matchup for New England, the toughest grade on the board. With Charbonnet out, expect Seattle to lean on him early and often.
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, Patriots): Stevenson leads New England's backfield and projects for 84.3 total yards with an F matchup grade against Seattle, making him one of the safer volume plays on this slate even with the Patriots trailing on paper.
A. Brown (WR, Patriots): Brown is projected for 70.3 total yards but draws a tougher D- matchup grade against Seattle's defense, a spot worth targeting only at value pricing.
Passing props: Drake Maye is projected for 238.6 passing yards, 1.7 passing touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions, while Sam Darnold projects for 217.9 yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Maye's C matchup grade against Seattle is more favorable than Darnold's D matchup grade against New England's compromised secondary, giving Maye a slight passing-prop edge on paper.
Patriots vs Seahawks DFS Picks and Value Plays
Seattle's passing game is unusually concentrated. Smith-Njigba (34.9 percent) and C. Kupp (18.0 percent) combine for more than half the Seahawks' target share, making Smith-Njigba a strong DFS anchor and Kupp a solid secondary piece, while depth options like A. Barner (13.9 percent), T. Horton (11.9 percent) and R. Shaheed (10.8 percent) carry more touchdown-dependent upside than floor. New England's target tree is flatter, with H. Henry (17.2 percent), M. Hollins (16.0 percent) and K. Boutte (13.0 percent) all in a similar range, which makes Stevenson's role in the run and pass game the safer DFS anchor on the Patriots' side.
Injuries are worth tracking closely leading up to kickoff. Charbonnet is already out after surgery, E. Wilson is questionable with a hamstring issue, and J. Hill is out with a knee injury, and any late addition to that list would shift these projections. See the rest of the slate in our NFL week 1 schedule, and shop these markets on the sports betting app before locking in your lineup.