Falcons vs Steelers NFL Player Props

Week 1's matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, September 13 at 1:00 PM offers plenty of DFS and player prop angles, with both offenses leaning on their run games and a clear split in receiving usage on each side. Here's a breakdown of the best player prop and DFS plays for this early-season clash.

Best QB Player Props

A. Rodgers is projected for 197.3 passing yards, 0.8 passing touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions in a tougher C-graded matchup against the Falcons defense. On the other side, M. Penix, currently Questionable after an August 22 procedure, draws a much friendlier A matchup against Pittsburgh, projected for 191 passing yards, 1.3 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. If Penix is cleared to play, his touchdown upside makes him the more appealing prop target of the two; if he's out or limited, Rodgers' floor becomes the safer play given his higher projected volume.

Best RB/WR/TE Player Props

B. Robinson leads the way in the backfield with a projection of 133.6 total yards and 0.7 touchdowns in a B- matchup against Pittsburgh. D. London draws the best individual matchup grade on either roster, an A- against the Steelers secondary, projected for 75 total yards and 0.8 touchdowns. For Pittsburgh, J. Warren is the top skill-position option, projected for 74.1 total yards and 0.5 touchdowns in a B- matchup against Atlanta's defense. All three profile as strong plays across receptions, rushing yards, and anytime touchdown markets.

DFS Usage Share Breakdown

Atlanta's passing game funnels through a clear hierarchy: D. London leads the way with 9.3 targets per game (30.4% share), followed by K. Pitts at 6.9 targets (22.8%) and B. Robinson at 6.1 targets (19.9%) out of the backfield. D. Drummond (3.7 targets, 13.9%) and C. Woerner (1.3 targets, 4.2%) round out the target tree, with all other Falcons combining for 6.0 targets (19.7%). On the Pittsburgh side, D. Metcalf paces the offense at 6.5 targets (22.2%) despite his Questionable tag, with P. Freiermuth (3.6 targets, 11.3%), D. Washington (3.1 targets, 10.4%) and J. Warren (2.7 targets, 8.7%) filling out the next tier, and R. Wilson adding 2.2 targets (7.5%). All other Steelers combine for 11.7 targets (38.4%), reflecting a more spread-out passing attack than Atlanta's.

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Injury Impact on DFS Value

M. Penix's Questionable tag stemming from an August 22 procedure is the single biggest DFS variable in this game – his absence would significantly shift Atlanta's passing volume and touchdown equity elsewhere. On Pittsburgh's side, D. Metcalf, Questionable with an undisclosed issue reported August 24, still leads the team in target share even banged up, so any downgrade to his workload would open opportunity for Freiermuth and Washington. M. Pittman is also listed as Questionable with a hamstring injury reported August 24 and is worth monitoring on injury reports leading up to kickoff, as his status could shift usage shares before lineups lock.

Falcons vs Steelers DFS Picks

For cash games, B. Robinson and D. London stand out as the safest plays given their favorable matchup grades and central roles in Atlanta's offense. In GPPs, D. Metcalf's touchdown equity makes him a strong pivot if he's confirmed active, while J. Warren offers useful floor and pass-catching value out of the Pittsburgh backfield. Keep an eye on the injury report through Sunday morning, since M. Penix's and D. Metcalf's statuses could each swing target shares and game flow. For more context on how this game could play out, our Falcons vs Steelers predictions cover the full spread, moneyline and total breakdown. Be sure to also check the full NFL week 1 schedule before building your Week 1 lineups, and get your plays in through a trusted sports betting app before kickoff.