Dolphins vs Raiders NFL Player Props and DFS Picks

Week 1 brings a clean slate for player props, and this Dolphins-Raiders opener features a wide gap between the two starting quarterbacks along with several injury questions that could shift usage on both sides. Below is a full breakdown of the top passing, rushing, and receiving props for Sunday, September 13, plus the DFS angles worth targeting heading into the Dolphins' trip to Las Vegas. That split matters most for cash-game builders, who benefit from locking in the safer, higher-floor options above, while tournament players may look to the more volatile names for extra upside if the price is right.

Best QB Player Props

Kirk Cousins projects for 189.9 passing yards, 1.3 passing touchdowns, and just 0.6 interceptions in a favorable C+ matchup against Miami, making the over on his passing yardage and touchdown props appealing given the volume the Raiders passing game should see. Malik Willis, by contrast, faces a difficult D+ matchup against the Raiders defense and projects for only 105.5 passing yards and 0.8 passing touchdowns with 0 interceptions, a profile that points toward the under on his yardage and touchdown lines.

Best RB/WR/TE Player Props

Achane leads all skill players in this game with a projection of 128.3 total yards and 0.7 touchdowns in a C+ matchup, making him the clear focal point for anytime touchdown and total yardage props on the Miami side. On the Raiders side, B. Bowers projects for 57.1 total yards and 0.9 touchdowns in an A- matchup, giving him strong appeal in the receiving yardage and anytime touchdown markets. A. Jeanty, listed as questionable, still carries a projection of 79 total yards and 0.5 touchdowns in an A- matchup, though his prop lines should be monitored closely as game time approaches given his injury status.

DFS Usage Share Breakdown

Miami's passing game is spread across a shallow target tree, with D. Achane leading the way at 5.3 targets (19.5% share), followed by G. Dulcich at 3.7 targets (15.1%), M. Washington at 3.8 targets (14.1%), T. Wease at 3.3 targets (13.5%), and T. Washington at 2.5 targets (8.2%) out of 27.1 total team targets. The Raiders offense funnels a larger share to its top options, led by B. Bowers at 7.2 targets (23.6%), A. Okwuegbunam at 6.0 targets (16.7%), T. Tucker at 5.4 targets (18.7%), A. Jeanty at 4.3 targets (14.8%), and M. Mayer at 3.8 targets (12.9%) out of 29.0 total team targets. Bowers' target share alone makes him one of the safer DFS floors at tight end this week. With targets concentrated near the top of each depth chart, DFS builders should prioritize the highest-share options above for safer floors, while treating the lower-volume names on both sides as more matchup-dependent, lower-probability pieces of a full lineup build.

Injury Impact on DFS Value

A. Jeanty (sprain, questionable, updated 8/23) is the injury to watch most closely for DFS purposes, since any change in his workload would push more carries and targets toward the Raiders' other backs. O. Gordon (ribs, questionable, updated 8/23) and D. Thornton (undisclosed, questionable, updated 8/16) round out the injury report and are both worth checking on final inactive lists before locking DFS lineups. On the Miami side, the Dolphins enter with defensive question marks that don't directly affect offensive DFS pricing but could push the game into more of a shootout script, which would be a modest tailwind for skill-position scoring on both sides.

Dolphins vs Raiders DFS Picks

For cash games, B. Bowers stands out as a strong tight end floor play given his 23.6% target share and A- matchup grade, while D. Achane is the top value play on the Miami side thanks to his workload and matchup. In tournaments, K. Cousins offers solid QB upside in a favorable C+ matchup, and A. Jeanty is worth a speculative look if he is confirmed active given his A- matchup grade, though his questionable tag makes him a game-time decision worth monitoring closely before lineups lock. M. Willis and the rest of Miami's passing-game options carry more risk given the tougher matchup grades across the board, so lean toward the Raiders' pass-catchers when building stacks for this game. These plays pair well with the full Dolphins vs Raiders predictions for game script context, and bettors can also check the complete NFL week 1 schedule for every matchup this weekend before finalizing lineups on the HOF Bets sports betting app.