Ravens vs Cowboys NFL Picks and Predictions

Our Ravens vs Cowboys NFL picks and predictions break down every angle of this Week 3 matchup, from the point spread and moneyline to the total, injury report, and betting trends.

The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys (1-1) in a Week 3 matchup on Sunday, September 27th at 4:25 PM ET. Check out our full Week 3 NFL Schedule for odds and predictions on every game this week.

All of the odds, matchup grades, injury data, and betting trends referenced below come from HOF's sports betting research app, which tracks live lines and team/player data to help bettors make more informed decisions. For our top touchdown scorer prop picks and DFS plays in this game, check out our Ravens vs Cowboys NFL Player Props and DFS Picks article.

Odds

Spread: Ravens -3.0 (-104) | Cowboys +3.0 (-105)

Moneyline: Ravens -153 | Cowboys +144

Total: 52.5 | Over -104 | Under -100

Matchup Breakdown

Baltimore grades out favorably on both sides of the ball in this one. The Ravens offense ranks 2nd in Rush+Rec Yards, 3rd in Anytime TDs, 2nd in Pass Yards, 2nd in Rush Yards, 10th in Pass TDs, and 3rd in Rush TDs against a Cowboys defense that ranks 13th, 20th, 5th, 27th, 15th, and 24th in those same categories. On the other side, the Ravens defense grades out even better, ranking 2nd, 3rd, 2nd, 4th, 4th, and 6th against a Cowboys offense that checks in at 11th, 6th, 8th, 12th, 1st, and 22nd.

At quarterback, Dak Prescott is projected for 265.8 passing yards, 1.6 touchdowns, and 0.6 interceptions, but carries an F matchup grade against Baltimore. Lamar Jackson also grades out poorly, at a D- against Dallas, projected for 200 passing yards, 0.9 touchdowns, and 0.7 interceptions — a sign both defenses are expected to make life difficult on the opposing passing game.

Injury Report

Z. Flowers (BAL) – Hamstring, Questionable (9/17)

J. Lane (BAL) – Surgery, Out (9/16)

A. Randall (BAL) – Undisclosed, Out (8/30)

M. Davis (DAL) – Surgery, Out (9/12)

P. Fant (DAL) – Surgery, Out (8/6)

D. Rogers (DAL) – Knee, Out (8/31)

Betting Trends

Moneyline: 50% of bettors are backing the Ravens moneyline (-155) in Baltimore's games, while 42% are on the Cowboys (+148) in Dallas's games.

Spread: Bettors are evenly split on the spread, with 50% on Ravens -3.5 in Baltimore's games and 50% on Cowboys +3.5 in Dallas's games.

Total: 39% of Ravens games and 56% of Cowboys games are trending Over this season, while 61% of Ravens games and 44% of Cowboys games are trending Under.

Our Pick

Baltimore grades out as the stronger team on both sides of the ball in HOF's data, with a top-tier defense that should limit Dallas's offense while the Ravens' own offense takes advantage of a shaky Cowboys defense.

Pick: Ravens -3.5

How We Made Our Ravens vs Cowboys NFL Picks and Predictions

Our Ravens vs Cowboys NFL picks and predictions are built directly from HOF's sports betting research app rather than gut feel or outside commentary. For every Week 3 matchup, we start with HOF's live point spread, moneyline, and total, then layer in the team grades HOF assigns across offense and defense to see where a real statistical edge exists. From there, we cross-reference HOF's injury report to confirm which players are active, questionable, or out, since a single absence can shift a matchup grade significantly.

We also check HOF's betting trends data — how each team has performed against the spread and the total recently — to see whether the market is lining up with or against the statistical picture. Only after weighing the odds, the matchup grades, the injury report, and the betting trends together do we land on the spread, moneyline, or total pick we publish here. We don't publish a pick without a clear data-backed reason behind it, and we update our numbers as HOF's app updates its own lines and grades throughout the week.