Jaguars vs Broncos NFL Picks and Predictions
The Jacksonville Jaguars head to Denver to face the Broncos in a Week 2 matchup that pits two of the league's more efficient defenses against opposing offenses looking to establish an early-season identity. Here's our full breakdown of the odds, matchup numbers, injuries, and betting trends to land on the best Jaguars vs Broncos pick. For the rest of the slate, check out our full Week 2 NFL Schedule with odds and predictions for every game.
You can explore all of this matchup data yourself with our sports betting research app, which we used to pull every stat in this breakdown.
Table of Contents
Jaguars vs Broncos Odds and Betting Lines
Denver is favored at home, with the Broncos listed at -3 (-109) and the Jaguars getting 3 points at +3 (-109). The moneyline has Jacksonville at +133 and Denver at -141, while the total sits at 44.5, with the over priced at -110 and the under at -104.
A field-goal home favorite suggests oddsmakers expect a competitive divisional-style battle, even though these teams aren't in the same division.
Jaguars vs Broncos Matchup Breakdown
Denver's defense grades out strong across the board against Jacksonville's offense. The Jaguars rank 12th in total rush and receiving yards (331.3) against a Broncos defense that ranks 3rd in yards allowed (284.7). Jacksonville ranks 12th in passing yards (221.3) facing a Denver defense that ranks 7th against the pass (184.9 allowed), and 17th in rushing yards (118.2) against a Broncos run defense that ranks 4th (99.1 allowed).
Touchdown production tells a similar story: the Jaguars rank 5th in anytime touchdowns (3.0) against a Denver defense that ranks 3rd in touchdowns allowed (1.7), 6th in passing touchdowns (1.8) against a defense ranked 5th in passing touchdowns allowed (1.1), and 6th in rushing touchdowns (1.2) against a Broncos defense ranked 5th in rushing touchdowns allowed (0.6).
At quarterback, Denver's Bo Nix carries a B- Matchup grade with projections of 248.2 passing yards, 1.2 touchdowns, and 0.7 interceptions. Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence carries a D+ Matchup grade, projected for 237.4 passing yards, 2.3 touchdowns, and 0.8 interceptions.
Jaguars vs Broncos Injury Report
Jacksonville is dealing with a couple of questionable tags heading into Sunday: receiver Jauan Meyers (thumb) was added to the injury report on 9/10, and Lloyd Allen (hip) has been questionable since 9/9. Denver's injury list is longer, with Marvin Mims (bruise) questionable, Cortland Lohner (surgery) ruled out, R. Moss (ribs) questionable, and J. Cooper (undisclosed) ruled out, all first appearing on the 8/31 report. The absences on Denver's side could open up extra opportunity for the Broncos' healthy skill players.
Jaguars vs Broncos Betting Trends
Jacksonville has covered the spread in 72% of its games, while Denver has covered as a favorite in just 42% of its games. Straight up, the Jaguars have won 72% of their games and the Broncos have won 79% of theirs.
The total has trended over in Jaguars games (61% over) but under in Broncos games (63% under), which points to a matchup that could hinge on which team's tendencies show up on the scoreboard.
Final Prediction and Pick
With Denver's defense grading out favorably across nearly every matchup category and Jacksonville dealing with a thinner receiving corps, we're leaning toward the Broncos to control this game, though the strong Jaguars cover rate keeps us cautious about laying too many points. On the total, the conflicting over/under trends make this a game worth monitoring closer to kickoff for injury news.
For a closer look at Sunday's skill-position volume, be sure to check our Jaguars vs Broncos player props breakdown for the best individual player bets in this matchup.