Arsenal vs PSG Player Props: UCL Final Picks and Predictions

05/29/26

The stage is set as Arsenal and PSG kick off at the Puskas Arena in Budapest in the Champions League Final. This matchup features a massive clash of styles, pitting the European defensive leaders Arsenal against the most prolific offensive side in Europe, PSG. While PSG is hunting for their second consecutive Champions League title after winning their first last year, Arsenal is chasing their first-ever trophy in this competition.

With the World Cup right around the corner, it is the perfect time to dive into the new HOF soccer tools. These advanced features let you look well beyond traditional goals and assists, opening up deep analytical metrics like total shots, shots on target, tackles won, and goalkeeper saves to find the best value lines on the board.

UCL Shot Props: Joao Neves & Bukayo Saka

Joao Neves has been a model of consistency all season in the PSG midfield, and his volume remains exceptionally high in European play. In the Champions League, Neves has started 12 of 13 matches, logging 16 shots and two goals throughout the tournament. Looking at his recent chart, this line has hit in 100% of his last five games, including their last intense Champions League outing against Bayern Munich. Backing him for either one or two shots provides a highly reliable floor based on his current usage.

HOF soccer analytics chart displaying Joao Neves 100% hit rate for total shots over his last 5 matches and historical Champions League shot volume.

On the other side of the pitch, Bukayo Saka has been flying since returning from an injury a few weeks ago. He has notched two goals over his last five games overall. In his last Champions League outing against Atletico Madrid, he looked completely healthy and aggressive on the right wing, successfully clearing his line by recording two shots. Expect him to test the PSG backline early and often in this matchup.

HOF player prop trend chart tracking Bukayo Saka recent shot metrics and offensive consistency following his return from injury.

UCL Tackle Props: Declan Rice 2+ Tackles Won

The PSG defensive backline faces some uncertainty following a recent injury to Achraf Hakimi, which is bound to alter their typical spacing and passing lanes. When looking to exploit these defensive adjustments via the tackle market, the top target on the board is Arsenal midfield anchor Declan Rice.

HOF defensive metrics chart highlighting Declan Rice 2.2 tackles per game and recent 5-game upward trajectory.

Rice provides elite defensive tenacity and covers massive ground in the center of the pitch. His volume has spiked down the stretch, with his average number of tackles jumping 29% up to 2.2 tackles per game over his last five appearances. Because of the heart and defensive energy he puts out on the pitch, targeting Rice to record two or more tackles won offers excellent data-driven value in a high-intensity final environment.

UCL Goalkeeper Saves: Matvey Safonov 3+ Saves

To find true value in the goalkeeper saves market, the primary metric to track is the opponent's sustained shot on target volume. Over the course of the entire season, Arsenal has averaged 5.3 shots on target per game. Their recent form matches this baseline perfectly, holding an average of exactly 5 shots on target per game over their last five outings.

HOF goalkeeper scouting chart tracking Matvey Safonov projected save volume relative to Arsenal seasonal shots on target baseline.

Targeting Safonov to hit three or more saves is a strong statistical play based on the steady volume he is expected to face. Overall, this final is going to be a highly entertaining match between two great sides with completely drastic styles of play. Make sure to utilize all of these new HOF soccer scouting tools while you prepare your cards for the game.

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