Raiders vs Jets NFL Picks and Predictions
Our Raiders vs Jets NFL picks and predictions cover the (3-4) Las Vegas Raiders at the (2-5) New York Jets on Sunday, November 1st at 1:00 PM ET. Check out our full Week 8 NFL Schedule for odds and predictions on every game this week.
All of the odds, matchup grades, injury data, and betting trends referenced below come from HOF's sports betting research app, which tracks live lines and team/player data to help bettors make more informed decisions. For our top touchdown scorer prop picks and DFS plays in this game, check out our Raiders vs Jets NFL Player Props and DFS Picks article.
Table of Contents
Odds
New York is favored at -1.5 (-102) on the spread with a -118 moneyline, while Las Vegas sits at +1.5 (-104) on the spread and +113 on the moneyline. The total is set at 45.5, with the over priced at -102 and the under at -104 — essentially a pick'em.
Matchup Breakdown
Las Vegas' offense grades out well through the air against New York's defense, ranking 4th in both Pass Yards and Pass TDs, 12th in Anytime TDs, and 13th in Rush+Rec Yards, though it ranks 31st in both Rush Yards and Rush TDs. New York's defense ranks 5th against Pass Yards and 9th against Rush+Rec Yards, but it ranks 22nd against Pass TDs, and Cousins carries a D- matchup grade with a projection of 268.1 passing yards and 2.3 touchdowns.
New York's offense grades out in the lower half of the league against Las Vegas' defense, ranking 21st in Pass Yards, 22nd in Rush Yards, 23rd in both Rush+Rec Yards and Pass TDs, and 26th in both Anytime TDs and Rush TDs. Las Vegas' defense is a clear weakness, ranking 30th against both Anytime TDs and Rush Yards, 29th against Rush+Rec Yards, and 27th against Pass TDs, and G. Smith carries a B matchup grade with a projection of 231.9 passing yards and 1.4 touchdowns.
Injury Report
B. Hall (NYJ) – Quadriceps, Out (10/25).
J. Bech (LV) – Fracture, Out (9/29).
Betting Trends
Las Vegas has covered the -1.5 spread in 43% of its games and hit the moneyline in 43%, while New York has covered the +1.5 spread in 29% of its games and hit the moneyline in 29%. Las Vegas holds the better record at 3-4 versus New York's 2-5.
Our Pick
Pick: Jets +1.5. G. Smith carries a B matchup grade against a Las Vegas defense that ranks 30th against both Anytime TDs and Rush Yards and 29th against Rush+Rec Yards, while Cousins carries a D- matchup grade against a New York defense ranked 5th against Pass Yards. Las Vegas ranks 31st in both Rush Yards and Rush TDs, which leaves its offense dependent on the passing game. The trend data is weak for both teams, so we side with the matchup grades and like the Jets to take the points.
How We Made Our Raiders vs Jets NFL Picks and Predictions
Our Raiders vs Jets NFL picks and predictions are built directly from HOF's sports betting research app rather than gut feel or outside commentary. For every Week 8 matchup, we start with HOF's live point spread, moneyline, and total, then layer in the team grades HOF assigns across offense and defense to see where a real statistical edge exists. From there, we cross-reference HOF's injury report to confirm which players are active, questionable, or out, since a single absence can shift a matchup grade significantly.
We also check HOF's betting trends data — how each team has performed against the spread and the total recently — to see whether the market is lining up with or against the statistical picture. Only after weighing the odds, the matchup grades, the injury report, and the betting trends together do we land on the spread, moneyline, or total pick we publish here. We don't publish a pick without a clear data-backed reason behind it, and we update our numbers as HOF's app updates its own lines and grades throughout the week.
Because lines and injury designations can move between now and kickoff, we recommend checking HOF's app for the latest numbers before placing any wager. A pick that looks strong at one number can lose its edge at another, so the price you can get matters just as much as the side you like.