Welcome to the dynamic realm of NFL sports betting! Are you eager to delve into NFL player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in football. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the NFL and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!
Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in football. In the NFL, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements like a quarterback's touchdowns, a running back's total yards, or a receiver's catches.
You'll find two kinds of NFL player props. The first, statistical props, involve actual game numbers—think touchdowns or yards. The second, non-statistical props, include bets like whether a player will score the first touchdown.
Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, DraftKings Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any NFL game. If you're interested in this Thursday Night Football matchup of the Carolina Panthers and the Chicago Bears, check out the TD Scorers tab for various scoring options. If stats are more your thing, the Rush/Rec Props tab will guide you to bets on carries, receptions, or total yards. These prop bets add a thrilling layer to NFL game-watching, as fans and bettors focus on individual players' achievements.
We kick off the closing stretch of the NFL regular season with an intense game between two teams fighting for their playoff lives in the New Orleans Saints and the Los Angeles Rams with both teams sitting at 7-7. The Rams are fighting for one of the two remaining wildcard spots in the NFC as they are currently hanging on to the final spot. Injuries have been a huge struggle for Los Angeles this year, but they are getting healthy at the right time, welcoming back all of their key skill players on one of the most explosive offenses in the league. On the other side of the ball, the Saints are currently on the outside looking in, but see their odds of making the playoffs take a significant jump if they can escape this road test with a victory. They are vying both for the NFC South crown and one of the two remaining wildcard spots, but could help themselves out considerably with a strong performance today. Today, we are looking for one of the game’s elite pass-catching running backs to continue to excel through the air, a talented defensive back to continue his great stretch of play, a phenomenal young wide receiver to continue willing his team in the passing game, and a same-game parlay that has been great this season. Though we are suggesting these as individual NFL Player Props, they do line up incredibly well if you are interested in playing them together as a parlay. Looking at the last five games, this parlay has hit 56% of the time, giving it implied odds of -130.
Alvin Kamara o31.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (DK) | NFL Player Props
Kamara has long been heralded as one of the best pass catchers out of the backfield in the entire league and this is for good reason. With great inconsistency on this New Orleans offense, Kamara is the safety net, seemingly capable of turning any play into positive yardage. The Saints running back has excelled this year in his receiving numbers, hitting this line in eight out of his last ten games.
Moreover, the running back is capable of getting it done regardless of the circumstances he finds himself in. His numbers are just as great if not better playing in challenging road environments, particularly when he is matched up against weaker defenses. In his two games on the road against below-average defenses, Kamara has hit this line in both, clearing this number with relative ease.
Averaging over 6 receptions a game, it is clear just how pivotal Kamara is to the success of the Saints offense. On this high number of receptions, Kamara is putting up great averages. Across the entire year, the Saints running back is averaging 40.5 receiving yards per game, comfortably putting him ahead of his line for this matchup and giving great confidence to him doing it again today.
Derion Kendrick o2.5 Tackles (+100) (DK) | NFL Player Prop
Kendrick has had a rather challenging season so far for the Rams, but from a statistical perspective has performed incredibly well in terms of his tackles recorded. Whether it is in pass coverage or in run-stopping, the cornerback has put up sensational numbers against this line this year. Over his last five games, Kendrick has hit this line in every single one, recording 4 tackles in two of those outings.
Across the entire season, his stats look equally as great. Hitting this line in all but three games, the corner has a great average of 3.2 tackles per game, comfortably putting him over the line he would need to hit here. On top of that, he has had some standout performances, managing to get all the way up to 7 tackles in a game earlier this year, the type of performance that proves he can get to this number again today.
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Chris Olave o4.5 Receptions (-150) (DK) | NFL Player Props
Perhaps the most promising young player for the Saints, Olave has built off a strong rookie season and managed to take his game to new heights this year. With some different faces at quarterback across the season, Olave has seemingly not missed a beat, proving himself to be a great up and coming player. Despite faltering in his last game, the wideout has hit this line with great consistency, particularly over the last ten games. Over this stretch, he has hit this number in all but two games, giving him a fantastic 80% hit rate.
Better yet for Olave, his matchup with the Rams lines up incredibly well. The Rams are the 21st-ranked passing defense in the league this year, allowing 226.1 yards to opposing teams. Focusing specifically on wide receivers, they allow 162 yards per game. Though we are focusing on his receptions, rather than yardage, this should be a promising sign: Olave should be able to get open with great frequency and have no issue hitting this number again today.
New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams (+100) | Same Game Parlay
We are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential for this game. This week we are looking at a two-leg parlay, featuring Alvin Kamara rushing for over 37.5 rushing yards and Tyler Higbee recording over 18.5 receiving yards. We have already spoken to just how integral Kamara is for the Saints, whether it be rushing or receiving. His presence is the metronome for an offense that has a tendency to get out of rhythm, so a steady flow of touches for the running back is absolutely essential. He has managed solid rushing numbers in addition to his prodigious receiving ones, so this line should come with great ease to the versatile weapon Kamara. On the other side of the ball, Higbee is a talented tight end that has an established role within this Rams offense. Though he is not as central to their game plan as in years prior, his numbers have still been strong and impressively consistent. Both players are vital assets to their respective offenses and have had great success hitting these lines across the entire year, meaning that both lines should in fully capable of hitting.
In review, we are taking:
This is currently being offered for +100 on DraftKings, but running it through our parlay optimizer, this parlay has been perfect over the last three games.
If you prefer to look at a longer stretch of games, this parlay has hit in three out of the last four games, giving it implied odds of -300.
Looking at the entire year at home and away games for each respective team, this bet has still hit in a fantastic 56% of games, giving it implied odds of -125.
Why engage in NFL player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into football viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each NFL game.
In wrapping up, NFL player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional football. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of NFL player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or football fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.
Strategies for Selecting Winning NFL Player Prop Bets
Embarking on the journey of NFL player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:
By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your NFL viewing experience even more thrilling.
Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your NFL player props betting game.
Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research. All odds in this article are from DraftKings Sportsbook.