Welcome to the dynamic realm of NFL sports betting! Are you eager to delve into NFL player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in football. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the NFL and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!
Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in football. In the NFL, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements like a quarterback's touchdowns, a running back's total yards, or a receiver's catches.
You'll find two kinds of NFL player props. The first, statistical props, involve actual game numbers—think touchdowns or yards. The second, non-statistical props, include bets like whether a player will score the first touchdown.
Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, DraftKings Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any NFL game. If you're interested in this weekend's Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns game, check out the TD Scorers tab for various scoring options.
If stats are more your thing, the Rush/Rec Props tab will guide you to bets on carries, receptions, or total yards. These prop bets add a thrilling layer to NFL game-watching, as fans and bettors focus on individual players' achievements.
We have a wonderful slate of games to cap off the week, starting with the Browns traveling to the Broncos, the Titans hosting the Panthers, the Bills visiting the Eagles, and finally Tampa Bay at the Colts. In our lineup for the day, we are taking a running back who has been on a great scoring streak, a receiver to have a limited game, another quarterback to be stopped in the running game, and finally, a same-game parlay for a duo that has been phenomenal as of late. Though we are suggesting these as individual NFL Player Props, they do line up incredibly well if you are interested in playing them together as a parlay. DraftKings has this parlay with odds of +2335, but over the past five games, this mega-parlay has hit 64% of the time, giving it implied odds of -178.
Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+250) (DK) | NFL Player Prop
Since Nick Chubb went down with a knee injury earlier this year, Kareem Hunt returned to the Browns and has made a considerable difference, scoring touchdowns seemingly each time out. With relatively limited touches, the veteran running back has made them worthwhile, scoring five touchdowns over his last five games and hitting this line in four out of the last five. Over this span, Hunt has managed a full touchdown per game, but even looking over his entire year, the running back is averaging a great 0.8 scores each game.
Better yet for Hunt, this matchup comes up against the worst rushing defense in the entire league. The Broncos are dead last in the NFL, giving up 160 rushing yards per game to go along with giving up 3 rushing touchdowns per contest. Similarly, the Broncos struggle to stop running backs out of the passing game, so whether Hunt is getting his opportunities on the ground or through the air, he has a great chance of scoring the football in this matchup.
DeAndre Hopkins u4.5 Receptions (-110) (DK) | NFL Player Prop
Despite the phenomenal career that Hopkins has amassed for himself, a variety of reasons suggest that taking the under on his receptions for this game is a great call. First and most importantly, Hopkins has simply not put up this number very often this season. Over his last five games, the Titans wideout has failed to go over this line in any of his games, giving the under a perfect record in that stretch.
Second, during that stretch of time, the Titans have moved on to a new quarterback in Will Levis. Looking at the games Hopkins has played with Levis under center, the result is the same: he has failed to break past this number of receptions in a single game.
Finally, the matchup that Hopkins will be facing is deceptively difficult. Despite their poor record, the Panthers have one of the better secondaries in the entire league, currently ranking 5th in terms of yards allowed to wide receivers, only allowing a meager 128.9 yards per game. This strength will likely push the Titans to focus on their rushing game and the elite ability of Derrick Henry, which has the potential to severely limit how involved Hopkins will be in the offense in this game. With the numerous factors going against him, expect the under to prevail again on this line and for Hopkins to stay under 4.5 receptions.
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Jalen Hurts u38.5 Rushing Yards (-110) (DK) | NFL Player Prop
The Eagles pulled off one of the most impressive wins of the season last time out, heading into Kansas City and upsetting the defending Super Bowl champions in a rematch of last year’s title game. In this game, Hurts was as good as he has been all season, but for a quarterback who has made such a name for himself rushing the ball, his numbers are down this year from what they have been in years past. That leads him into another tough matchup against the Bills, where he finds himself with a line that is simply too high for how good their defense is. On the year, Hurts has only gone over this line twice, coming in back-to-back weeks in the middle of the year, sandwiched between four games of going under before and after that stretch.
The Bills have a great all-around defense, both in their secondary and their defensive line. On the year, they are currently ranked 11th in the league in terms of rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks, only giving up a slim 15.2 yards per game. Even more notably, the Bills have yet to allow a rushing touchdown to any quarterback this year, which comes into direct conflict with Philadelphia’s ultimate trump card. It is likely that the Eagles will approach this game with a very mixed attack between running and throwing and though Hurts will certainly be involved in that, the numbers are strongly against him to go over this line here.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts (-110) | Same Game Parlay
We are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential for this slate. This week we are going to look at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers traveling to the Indianapolis Colts. We are taking a two-leg parlay, starting with Rachaad White recording at least 25 yards receiving, then adding Baker Mayfield to have at least 225 passing yards. Despite more modest numbers rushing the ball, White has come on incredibly strong as a receiver out of the backfield for Tampa Bay. This evolution has done incredibly well for the offense as a whole and has contributed to much higher numbers for Mayfield throwing the ball. Putting these two plays together makes a lot of sense as the duo link up so often and are an essential part of the attack, regardless of how the game script develops. As the season has gone on, this pair has established a fantastic rapport that should give this line a sensational chance of hitting again in this matchup.
In review, we are taking:
This is currently being offered for -110 on DraftKings, but running it through our parlay optimizer, over the last three games, this parlay has hit 100% of the time.
If you prefer to look at a longer time horizon, this bet has also hit in all of the last five games.
Looking at the entire year, this bet has still hit in a great 60% of games, giving it implied odds of -150.
Why engage in NFL player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into football viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each NFL game.
In wrapping up, NFL player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional football. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of NFL player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or football fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.
Strategies for Selecting Winning NFL Player Prop Bets
Embarking on the journey of NFL player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:
By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your NFL viewing experience even more thrilling.
Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your NFL player prop betting game.
Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research. All odds in this article are from DraftKings Sportsbook.