Week 12 NFL Player Props and Parlays: MNF
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Week 12 NFL Player Props and Parlays: MNF

11/27/23
Week 12 NFL Player Props and Parlays: MNF

Welcome to the dynamic realm of NFL sports betting! Are you eager to delve into NFL player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in football. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the NFL and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in football. In the NFL, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements like a quarterback's touchdowns, a running back's total yards, or a receiver's catches. You'll find two kinds of NFL player props. The first, statistical props, involve actual game numbers—think touchdowns or yards. The second, non-statistical props, include bets like whether a player will score the first touchdown.

Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, DraftKings Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any NFL game. If you're interested in this weekend's Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns game, check out the TD Scorers tab for various scoring options.

If stats are more your thing, the Rush/Rec Props tab will guide you to bets on carries, receptions, or total yards. These prop bets add a thrilling layer to NFL game-watching, as fans and bettors focus on individual players' achievements.

MNF Player Props & Parlays

We conclude Week 12 in the NFL with a divisional clash between the Chicago Bears and the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears are coming off a narrow defeat in Detroit against the Lions, maintaining their struggle with a 3-8 record and eyeing another early draft pick. The Minnesota Vikings have navigated a season marked by peaks and valleys. The loss of Kirk Cousins to an Achilles tear initially seemed like a severe setback, but the team rallied around newly acquired quarterback Joshua Dobbs, acquired from the Cardinals at the trade deadline. The move has proven successful, injecting renewed energy into the Vikings' campaign.

The odds favor the Vikings by three points in this Monday night showdown, setting the stage for an engaging contest. So without further ado, let’s get into our favorite props and parlays for tonight’s matchup.

Alexander Mattison U 44.5 Rushing Yards (-110) (FD) | Player Prop

Since the departure of Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison has assumed the role of the Vikings' primary running back. However, his performances throughout this season have been inconsistent. In 11 games this season, Mattison has gone under his line on eight occasions.

Furthemore, the Chicago Bears' defense is currently ranked second in the league for the fewest rushing yards allowed. With an impressive record of only conceding 79.5 rushing yards per game, just behind Philadelphia, the Bears defense pose a formidable challenge for Mattison.

In games against above average rushing defenses, Mattison has gone under his line in five of six games this season.

D.J Moore O 4.5 Receptions (-128) (FD) | Player Prop

On the season, Moore has gone over his receptions line in five of the six games where Justin Fields has played. Furthermore, the only game where Moore went under his line was against the Kansas City Chiefs, who rank in the top five for least amount of receiving yards (4th, 176.6) and completions (5th, 19.4) allowed per game.

Furthermore, in the last four games where Justin Fields has been fully healthy, Moore has emerged as a standout target, commanding an impressive 34.3% share of the targets.

The Vikings rank in the bottom ten for yards (170.9) and completions (14.3) allowed per game to wide receivers. The weaknesses in the Vikings' defense appear to set the stage for Fields and Moore to capitalize on their connection and potentially exploit the vulnerabilities in the opposing secondary.

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T. J. Hockenson 50+ Receiving Yards (-220) (FD) | Player Prop

In the wake of the early-season loss of Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson has emerged as a primary beneficiary for the Vikings. In every game played without Jefferson, Hockenson has surpassed his alternate line of 50+ receiving yards in all six games. Furthermore, over the last five games, his performance have been particularly noteworthy, boasting an impressive average of 86.4 receiving yards on 7.8 receptions.

The upcoming matchup against the Chicago Bears holds promise for Hockenson, given the Bears' susceptibility in defending the pass. With an average of 245.9 receiving yards allowed per game, the Bears rank seventh-worst in the league in this regard. Hockenson's impact was evident in their previous encounter, where he tallied 50 yards on six receptions, signaling a trend that could continue in the upcoming game.

As Hockenson continues to thrive in the absence of Jefferson, his ability to exploit the Bears' vulnerabilities in the passing game has immense potential.

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Same Game Parlay (-102) (FD)

Last but not least, our parlay for the day has three legs, all of which have hit in 100% of the last five games.

  1. T.J. Hockenson 4+ Receptions
  2. Alexander Mattison 25+ Rushing Yards
  3. Jordan Addison 3+ Receptions

On the season, this parlay has hit in 91% of Viking’s games (implied odds of -1000) while it also hit in the last game between the Vikings and Bears.

FanDuel is offering -102 odds for this parlay. Will it hit in tonight’s MNF matchup?

Why Bet on NFL Player Props?

Why engage in NFL player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into football viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each NFL game.

In wrapping up, NFL player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional football. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of NFL player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or football fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.

Strategies for Selecting Winning NFL Player Prop Bets

Embarking on the journey of NFL player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:

  • Player Performance Analysis: Delve into recent performances of players. Consider factors like injuries, recovery status, and consistency. A player on a hot streak or facing a weaker defense could be a lucrative bet.
  • Matchup Assessments: Evaluate the matchups carefully. A star running back facing the league's top rushing defense might not hit their average yardage. Conversely, a top receiver against a team with a weak secondary defense might exceed expectations.
  • Weather and Conditions: The weather can significantly affect player performance, especially for outdoor games. High winds can limit passing games, while rain can make it tough for receivers to catch long passes.
  • Historical Trends: Look at historical data. Some players may have a history of performing exceptionally well or poorly against certain teams or in particular situations.
  • Coaching Strategies: Stay updated on team strategies. Coaching decisions can influence a player's opportunity to perform, like a shift towards a more aggressive passing game which could mean more targets for receivers.
  • In-Game Scenarios: Consider the context of the game. A team that's ahead may run the ball more to keep the clock moving, benefiting running backs' props like total rushing yards.
  • Bankroll Management: Keep your bankroll in check. Don't place all your funds on one prop; diversify your bets to manage risk.
  • Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks. Even small differences can be significant over time, so shop for the best lines for your chosen props.
  • Timing Your Bets: Monitor line movements. Placing your bet at the right time, when the lines are most favorable, can be as crucial as the bet itself.
  • Keeping an Eye on the News: Injuries, trades, and team news can all affect props. Keep an eye on updates right up to game time to catch any critical changes.

By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your NFL viewing experience even more thrilling.

Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your NFL player prop betting game.

Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.