Welcome to the dynamic realm of MLB sports betting! Are you eager to delve into MLB player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in baseball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the MLB and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!
Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in baseball. In the MLB, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as hits, strikeouts, home runs, etc.
Our first player prop for today's games is Seth Lugo under 2.5 earned runs.
Lugo has gone under this line in eight of his ten appearances this season.
The only two games where he went over were against the Orioles (3rd) and Brewers (5th), both ranking in the top five for runs recorded per game in the MLB.
Today, Lugo faces the Twins, who rank 17th in runs per game, a significant drop compared to his previous opponents.
Additionally, Lugo has already faced the Twins this season, allowing zero runs in six innings, and he also went under this line in last season’s matchup against Minnesota.
Considering these factors, we are confident in Lugo staying under 2.5 earned runs today.
The next player prop for tonight’s games is James Paxton under 4.5 strikeouts.
Paxton has stayed under this line in each of his last nine games, averaging just 3.1 strikeouts per game this season.
Additionally, he has gone under in all five of his away games this season.
Tonight, Paxton faces the Mets, who rank 12th for fewest strikeouts per game.
While Paxton did record seven strikeouts against the Mets last season, he was averaging 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings pitched last year compared to just 5.1 K/9 this season.
Considering these factors, we like the under for Paxton tonight.
The next player prop catching our attention is Justin Verlander under 2.5 earned runs.
Verlander has stayed under this line in five of his seven games this season.
In the two games where he went over, he faced the Orioles (3rd) and Yankees (4th), both of whom rank in the top five for runs scored per game.
Tonight, Verlander faces the Mariners, a team that ranks second lowest in the MLB for runs per game.
In his matchup against Seattle last season, Verlander allowed just one run in eight innings.
Given Verlander’s strong performances this season and the favorable matchup against the Mariners, we like the under for Verlander tonight.
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The next player prop catching our attention is George Kirby under 5.5 strikeouts.
Kirby has stayed under this line in four of his last five games, including a game against Houston where he recorded just three strikeouts.
Additionally, he has gone under this line in each of his last three games against Houston, averaging only 3.3 strikeouts.
This season, the Astros rank first in the MLB for the fewest strikeouts per game, averaging just 6.7.
Given Kirby’s recent underwhelming performances and the challenging matchup against the Astros, we like the under for Kirby tonight.
Last but not least, the final player prop for tonight’s games is Kyle Harrison over 2.5 earned runs.
Harrison has gone over this line in seven of his last ten games, including each of the last three.
Tonight, he faces the Phillies, who record the 2nd most runs per game in the MLB.
As a team, Philadelpia have exceeded this line in 17 of their last 20 games.
Given that they were shut out last night, we expect their batters to have a strong bounce-back performance today.
Considering these factors, we like the over for Harrison tonight.
Last but not least, it wouldn't be a Hall of Fame Bets blog post without utilizing the Parlay Optimizer to build a parlay for tonight’s slate.
This parlay consists of these two legs from FanDuel:
This parlay hit in 100% of games this season.
Furthermore, looking at last season, both Crawford and Garrett went over these lines in the previous head-to-head games.
While it has an implied odds of +121 based on all games from last season. At +17 odds on FanDuel, the value of this parlay is just too good to pass up on.
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