Welcome to our parlay and player prop research for the August 1 MLB slate. Take a look at the numbers we are including in every bet for today and play them either straight or in a parlay.
The lineup for today
With another great slate of games today, we will be featuring the Guardians at Houston, the Nationals hosting the Brewers, the Twins at the Cardinals, and the Diamondbacks visiting the Giants. In our lineup for the day we are taking two pitchers with favorable strikeout matchups, a seasoned batter to keep his strikeout numbers low, and a game same game parlay that has been great this year. Let’s get started!
Framber Valdez o4.5 Strikeouts (-165) | Player Prop
Valdez has been superb in hitting this line this season, recording over 4.5 strikeouts in 80% of his games this year. When pitching against below average competition, Valdez sees this line rise all the way to an even stronger 86% hit rate. In their head to head matchups this season, the Guardians have averaged 8.3 Ks per game, giving a particularly strong chance for Valdez to reach this number early on in the game today.
Lane Thomas u1.5 Strikeouts (-120) | Player Prop
Thomas has been one of the strongest batters for the Nationals this season, and today we are counting on his discipline at the plate to shine. On the year he has been under 1.5 strikeouts in a strong 70% of his games played, only averaging 1.1 Ks per game. When he is playing at home, his form is considerably better, where he hits this line in 79% of his games and sees his average number of strikeouts drop to a fantastic 0.8 per game.
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Pablo Lopez o6.5 Strikeouts (-140) | Player Prop
Lopez has been phenomenal for the Twins this season, averaging over 7 strikeouts per game and hitting this line in four out of his last five. For the entire season he hits this line in 71% of his games, but he performs considerably better when facing off against weaker teams, such as the Cardinals. In games against below average competition, Lopez sees his hit rate for this number skyrocket all the way to 85% of his games played, giving a phenomenal chance for him to repeat this again today.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants (+110) | Same Game Parlay
In a new section, we are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential for one of the games on the slate. Today we are going to be looking at a same game parlay for the Diamondbacks at the Giants, with Alex Cobb striking out at least 4 and Joc Pederson to record a hit. Cobb is averaging over 5 Ks per game this year, meanwhile Pederson is in incredible form at the plate right now.
In review, we are taking:
This is currently being offered for +110 on Draftkings, but running it through our parlay optimizer, when looking at pitching matchup it has hit 55% of the time, giving it implied odds of -120.
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All odds in this article are from DraftKings Sportsbook.